Thursday 31 December 2015

2016 - The Year of Climate Mobilisation









Happy New Year!
2016 promises to be the year of climate mobilisation.
 
There is some good news, bad news, and then some more good news...


Good News!
The Paris Climate Conference reached an agreement between 195 countries that the new target would be 1.5 degrees of warming.  (This in itself is a critical breakthrough in terms of a shared global understanding of the climate crisis).  This has significant impacts, for a start it might just mean that island nations like Tuvalu and Kiribati will survive.  But more significantly it means that the wealthier nations must change their climate strategies to meet the target.  When the maths is done the conclusion will be realised; that ALL further global warming is extremely dangerous, and there is no carbon budget left to burn.  In truth we have to race out of fossil fuels as quickly as humanly possible.  By 2025 or 2030 at the latest.  (In a later post I will explain the maths in more detail)

Bad News!
The target might have changed, but the talking has stopped.  The UK in particular is not re-assessing its climate strategy in the light of Paris.  Quite the opposite, the first decisions the government made were to reduce the feed-in-tariff and to frack under national parks and world heritage sites.  And, once again, the government and media have failed to make the connection between unprecedented flooding and climate change.

Good News!
But it's not all bad news.  The political ground on climate is shifting.  The Guardian newspaper has a specific campaign on climate change. The Paris Climate talks mobilised hundreds of thousands of people across the globe. The Committee on Climate Change is getting more angry about the government's failure to act.  The Environment Agency, the Quakers and many Local Authorities have agreed to divest from Fossil Fuels.  50 cities in the UK have agreed to go zero carbon.  Pope Francis has warned that humanity is "at the limit of a suicide".  The anti-fracking movement is growing ever stronger.  Deluged communities in Carlisle, Manchester, Leeds, York and elsewhere are starting to see the links between flooding and climate change.

We are at the brink of a World War II scale mobilisation on climate.  We have to be.  The time for talking has ended and the time for action has begun.  Make 2016 the year you decide personally to make this happen.  There are many climate worriers out there, we need to convert them to become Climate Warriors.